Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 2.625570 2.765004 2.910314 3.073494 3.252176 3.442496 3.661349
2025-11-02 2.368627 2.566619 2.783016 3.038895 3.335593 3.671814 4.086072
2025-11-09 2.187742 2.413698 2.668315 2.979856 3.355572 3.800587 4.377891
2025-11-16 2.062563 2.307295 2.589685 2.944728 3.386854 3.930347 4.667764
2025-11-23 1.987123 2.250365 2.560635 2.960533 3.473644 4.127264 5.054410
2025-11-30 1.919815 2.196930 2.529548 2.967619 3.544863 4.304419 5.427790
2025-12-07 1.825560 2.104468 2.443579 2.897195 3.506651 4.328215 5.582763
2025-12-14 1.748237 2.028722 2.373760 2.841923 3.482379 4.365664 5.756757
2025-12-21 1.695911 1.981473 2.337036 2.826721 3.509564 4.474773 6.047573
2025-12-28 1.648130 1.937582 2.301979 2.810757 3.532986 4.577955 6.337958
2026-01-04 1.613694 1.909096 2.285209 2.817851 3.588233 4.730955 6.726440
2026-01-11 1.586348 1.888430 2.277367 2.836044 3.659533 4.912761 7.186541
2026-01-18 1.553140 1.859912 2.259154 2.840589 3.713749 5.077149 7.650147
2026-01-25 1.509257 1.815851 2.218269 2.810824 3.714199 5.154883 7.965501
2026-02-01 1.460544 1.763627 2.164077 2.758834 3.676428 5.164718 8.148041
2026-02-08 1.422098 1.723946 2.125628 2.727850 3.669207 5.225039 8.441371
2026-02-15 1.401048 1.707036 2.118022 2.741795 3.733823 5.415231 9.041457
2026-02-22 1.378775 1.687613 2.105942 2.748044 3.785725 5.586831 9.634306
2026-03-01 1.336080 1.638846 2.050567 2.685877 3.720398 5.536594 9.700964
2026-03-08 1.299597 1.597780 2.005006 2.637004 3.674717 5.519571 9.846132
2026-03-15 1.275831 1.573725 1.983043 2.623549 3.687924 5.615228 10.289391
2026-03-22 1.253005 1.550364 1.961305 2.609414 3.698870 5.707020 10.742204
2026-03-29 1.237253 1.536490 1.952859 2.615696 3.745426 5.873511 11.436562